Forecasting under uncertainty

Forecasting under uncertainty

Forecasting under uncertainty

Circe is a research lab that turns uncertain questions into clear probabilities, faster and more accurate than anyone else

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01 / What we do

Research

We study uncertain events and build state of the art machine learning models to estimate how they unfold.

Forecasting

We express every view as a probability, and update it fast when new information arrives

Systems

We build the data and simulation infrastructure that keeps forecasts current.

02 / Philosophy

Consensus, not certainty.

Consensus, not certainty.

Consensus, not certainty.

Every open question has a yes and a no. Our mark shows the two meeting: opposing views that, weighed together, settle into a single probability. We incorporate every view and information to derive the most honest answer to an uncertain question.

03 / Contact

Work with us

Work with us

Work with us

For research collaborations and partnerships: